Research Report
Class of 2022: Planning for the Future in Uncertain Times
Overview
What do high school seniors in the class of 2022 have to say about their future plans? How do plans – and opportunities – differ across student demographic groups? And what changed for 2022 graduates compared to the class of 2019, the last graduating class before the COVID-19 pandemic?
The graduating class of 2022 lived more than half of their high school career during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hearing directly from these graduating seniors about their future plans – including how those plans have changed and how they perceive support from their schools – can help school systems, employers, institutions of higher education, and students themselves better navigate this formative transition during uncertain times.
What do high school seniors in the class of 2022 have to say about their future plans? How do plans – and opportunities – differ across student demographic groups? And what has changed for this year’s graduates compared to the class of 2019, the last graduating class before the COVID-19 pandemic?
This report presents insights about future plans from over 28,000 high school seniors from the class of 2022 and the class of 2019. Surprisingly, across the 22 survey questions explored, only three revealed differences between these two groups of students overall: expecting to attend a two-year college, participating in counseling about future career possibilities, and participating in counseling about how to pay for college.
Notably, however, differences abound for certain groups of students, including Hispanic or Latinx students, Black or African American students, LGBTQ+ youth, boys/men, and students attending high-poverty schools, among others. These trends raise questions and concerns about how schools and their partners can inspire all students and better support them to thrive in college, career, and beyond.
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FINDING ONE: CHANGE IN PLANS
1 in 4 seniors in the class of 2022 have changed their plans since the start of the pandemic.
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FINDING TWO: DESIRE FOR COLLEGE
Seniors in the class of 2022 who are Hispanic or Latinx, Black or African American, or boys/men are less likely to want to go to college compared to these groups in the class of 2019.
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FINDING THREE: POST-SECONDARY EXPECTATIONS
Nearly half of all seniors in the class of 2022 expect to attend a four-year college, yet differences by race, ability, language, school poverty level, and gender reveal concerning expectation gaps. Fewer seniors now consider twoyear programs than in 2019.
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FINDING FOUR: ADULT SUPPORT
Fewer seniors in the class of 2022 report participating in career counseling and college financial counseling than in 2019, with significant drops for students who are Hispanic or Latinx, multi-racial, boys/men, and attending rural schools. Most seniors now have an adult they could ask for a recommendation, but this support is unevenly experienced.
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FINDING FIVE: MAKING IT TO GRADUATION
A higher proportion of seniors in the class of 2022 who are transgender, gender non-binary, prefer to selfdescribe their gender, or members of the LGBTQ+ community seriously consider dropping out as compared to their peers.